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Apple Lowers iPhone 16 Sales Forecast by 10 Million: Analyst Kuo Says Hardware Innovation Is Key to Future Growth!
Apple has reportedly reduced its sales forecast for the iPhone 16 series, according to renowned analyst Ming-Chi Kuo. The company is said to have cut iPhone 16 orders by around 10 million units for the period spanning Q4 2024 through the first half of 2025, with the non-Pro models being the most affected. This adjustment lowers the expected production of iPhone 16 to 84 million units for the second half of 2024, down from the initial estimate of 88 million units.
Impact on Overall iPhone Production
The impact on overall iPhone production is significant, with year-over-year declines projected. Current estimates suggest:
- 80 million units for Q4 2024
- 45 million units for Q1 2025
- 39 million units for Q2 2025
All these figures are lower than production numbers from the same periods in the previous year. While Apple may partially offset the cuts in Q4 2024 with a favorable product mix, a more noticeable decline is expected in the first half of 2025.
Reasons for Sales Decline
According to Kuo, part of the reason for this dip in sales is stagnation in Apple’s hardware innovation. The iPhone 16 Pro and 16 Pro Max feature slightly larger displays and minor camera improvements, but these changes are seen as evolutionary rather than revolutionary. This lack of substantial hardware updates may make it harder for Apple to convince existing customers to upgrade annually.
Over the past four generations of Pro models, the core design and technical specifications have remained largely unchanged, with only slight increases in display sizes. While processor advancements have improved user experiences, features like USB-C connectors and always-on displays are not viewed as significant enough to drive consumer excitement. The iPhone 16 Pro introduces new AI features, such as “Visual Intelligence” and “Genmoji,” but these additions have yet to generate considerable demand.
Influence of Upcoming Products
Another factor that could influence Apple’s product strategy is the upcoming iPhone SE4. Kuo notes that mass production for the lower-cost SE4 is expected to begin in December 2024, and its more affordable price point could cannibalize sales of higher-end models, further impacting the product mix. As a result, Apple suppliers are likely to experience pressure starting in late Q4 2024, with more pronounced effects in early 2025.
Market Reactions
Following Kuo’s report, Apple’s stock experienced a decline of about 3%, reflecting investor concerns over waning demand for the latest iPhone models. Analysts are closely monitoring how these production cuts will affect Apple’s overall revenue and market position.
Future Outlook
Despite these recent cuts, there is optimism about Apple’s AI advancements potentially driving future iPhone shipments. However, Kuo emphasizes that significant growth will depend on further hardware innovations to complement Apple’s expanding AI capabilities. He also points out that Apple’s focus on on-device AI looks promising for long-term growth; however, without meaningful hardware upgrades, this alone may not be enough to drive substantial demand.
Conclusion
In summary, Apple’s decision to lower its sales forecast for the iPhone 16 series highlights ongoing challenges in maintaining robust demand amid evolving consumer expectations. As competition intensifies in the smartphone market, particularly with emerging technologies and pricing strategies from competitors, Apple will need to prioritize innovation and adapt its offerings to retain customer interest.
The anticipated launch of products like the iPhone SE4 could further complicate Apple’s sales landscape, making it imperative for the company to strategically navigate both hardware advancements and market dynamics moving forward.
Hyderabad, January 13, 2026 Neeman’s, India’s leading D2C footwear brand famed for sustainable shoes and patented PIXLL® technology, has raised $4 million from existing investors. This funding boosts its cumulative capital past $10 million since 2015, with a post-money valuation nearing $50 million. CEO Vijay Chahoria emphasized offline retail as the “next frontier,” planning 50+ new stores in Tier 2/3 cities like Jaipur and Lucknow to blend eco-friendly innovation with hands-on customer experiences.
In India’s booming D2C ecosystem where footwear sales hit ₹1.2 lakh crore in 2025 Neeman’s targets hybrid retail amid high online CAC and 25-30% returns. Backed by vegan, machine-washable shoes priced ₹2,000-4,000, the brand leverages PIXLL® (5x more breathable than leather) for carbon-neutral comfort. Recent 5x revenue growth to ₹100 crore ARR, 1M+ pairs sold via Myntra and stores, and awards at India D2C Summit 2025 position it ahead of rivals like Paaduks.
Neeman’s offline expansion India eyes the $15B sustainable footwear market by 2028, fueled by PLI schemes, Gen Z’s 70% eco-preference (Nielsen), and Southeast Asia exports. Challenges like real estate costs are offset by data-driven inventory and omnichannel QR tech. Watch for Q1 2026 launches in Hyderabad and Bengaluru redefining D2C success through authentic, “Wear the Change” branding.
The Centre is weighing the option of revoking X’s safe harbour status in India after its AI chatbot Grok was allegedly misused to generate and circulate obscene and sexually explicit content, including material seemingly involving minors. The IT Ministry has already issued a notice to X, directing the platform to remove unlawful content, fix Grok’s safeguards, act against violators, and submit a detailed compliance report within a tight deadline. If the government finds X’s response inadequate, it could argue that the platform has failed to meet due‑diligence standards under Indian law, opening the door to harsher action.
Under Section 79 of the IT Act, safe harbour protects intermediaries like X from being held directly liable for user‑generated content, provided they follow due‑diligence rules and promptly act on legal takedown orders. Revoking this protection would mean X and its officers could be exposed to criminal and civil liability for obscene, unlawful, or harmful content that remains on the platform, including AI‑generated images from Grok. This prospect significantly raises X’s compliance risk in India and could force tighter moderation, stricter AI controls, and more aggressive removal of flagged posts.
The Grok episode also spotlights the regulatory grey zone around generative AI, where tools can create harmful content at scale even without traditional user uploads. Policymakers are increasingly questioning whether AI outputs should still enjoy the same intermediary protections as conventional user posts, especially when they involve women and children. How the government ultimately proceeds against X over Grok misuse could set a precedent for AI accountability, platform responsibility, and safe harbour interpretation in India’s fast‑evolving digital ecosystem.
Home services startup Pronto is in advanced talks to raise about $25 million at a near-$100 million valuation, underscoring strong investor confidence in India’s fast-growing 10-minute home services market. This potential round would be the company’s third major funding milestone after its $2 million seed and $11 million Series A in 2025, backed by marquee investors such as General Catalyst, Glade Brook Capital, Bain Capital and new participant Epiq Capital. The fresh capital is expected to further strengthen Pronto’s positioning as a leading tech-led household help platform for urban consumers.
Pronto operates a 10-minute on-demand home-services platform that connects users with trained, background-verified workers for everyday tasks like sweeping, mopping, utensil cleaning, laundry and basic cooking. Using a hub-and-spoke, shift-based model, the startup stations workers at hyperlocal hubs, enabling sub-10-minute fulfilment and more predictable earnings compared to the informal domestic-help market. Founded in 2024 by Anjali Sardana and based in Delhi NCR, Pronto has already expanded from Gurugram into major cities such as New Delhi, Mumbai, Bengaluru and Pune, and is handling around 6,000 daily bookings with nearly 1,300 active professionals as of December 2025.
The upcoming $25 million fundraise is expected to be used to enter more metros, deepen presence in existing neighbourhoods with additional hubs and upgrade Pronto’s technology for smarter routing, shift planning and real-time operations. A significant portion of the capital will also go into training, retention and benefits for its workforce to maintain consistent service quality at scale, especially as competition heats up from rivals like Snabbit and Urban Company in the rapid home services space. This near-$100 million valuation not only validates Pronto’s model but also highlights a broader shift toward organised, tech-driven domestic-help solutions in India’s largely informal home-services market.
Dazzl Raises $3.2M Seed Funding Led by OYO’s Ritesh Agarwal for AI Skincare Expansion
D2C Brand Neeman’s Raises $4 Million for Tier 2/3 Store Expansion & Eco-Friendly Shoes
Paytm Grants ₹16.7 Crore ESOPs To Employees Under 2019 Stock Option Plan
WhatsApp Rolls Out ‘Member Tags’ Feature to Simplify Group Roles and Management
How Pronto Is Redefining 10-Minute Home Services in India with a $25 Million Fundraise
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