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Apple Lowers iPhone 16 Sales Forecast by 10 Million: Analyst Kuo Says Hardware Innovation Is Key to Future Growth!

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Apple has reportedly reduced its sales forecast for the iPhone 16 series, according to renowned analyst Ming-Chi Kuo. The company is said to have cut iPhone 16 orders by around 10 million units for the period spanning Q4 2024 through the first half of 2025, with the non-Pro models being the most affected. This adjustment lowers the expected production of iPhone 16 to 84 million units for the second half of 2024, down from the initial estimate of 88 million units.

Impact on Overall iPhone Production

The impact on overall iPhone production is significant, with year-over-year declines projected. Current estimates suggest:

  • 80 million units for Q4 2024
  • 45 million units for Q1 2025
  • 39 million units for Q2 2025

All these figures are lower than production numbers from the same periods in the previous year. While Apple may partially offset the cuts in Q4 2024 with a favorable product mix, a more noticeable decline is expected in the first half of 2025.

Reasons for Sales Decline

According to Kuo, part of the reason for this dip in sales is stagnation in Apple’s hardware innovation. The iPhone 16 Pro and 16 Pro Max feature slightly larger displays and minor camera improvements, but these changes are seen as evolutionary rather than revolutionary. This lack of substantial hardware updates may make it harder for Apple to convince existing customers to upgrade annually.

Over the past four generations of Pro models, the core design and technical specifications have remained largely unchanged, with only slight increases in display sizes. While processor advancements have improved user experiences, features like USB-C connectors and always-on displays are not viewed as significant enough to drive consumer excitement. The iPhone 16 Pro introduces new AI features, such as “Visual Intelligence” and “Genmoji,” but these additions have yet to generate considerable demand.

Influence of Upcoming Products

Another factor that could influence Apple’s product strategy is the upcoming iPhone SE4. Kuo notes that mass production for the lower-cost SE4 is expected to begin in December 2024, and its more affordable price point could cannibalize sales of higher-end models, further impacting the product mix. As a result, Apple suppliers are likely to experience pressure starting in late Q4 2024, with more pronounced effects in early 2025.

Market Reactions

Following Kuo’s report, Apple’s stock experienced a decline of about 3%, reflecting investor concerns over waning demand for the latest iPhone models. Analysts are closely monitoring how these production cuts will affect Apple’s overall revenue and market position.

Future Outlook

Despite these recent cuts, there is optimism about Apple’s AI advancements potentially driving future iPhone shipments. However, Kuo emphasizes that significant growth will depend on further hardware innovations to complement Apple’s expanding AI capabilities. He also points out that Apple’s focus on on-device AI looks promising for long-term growth; however, without meaningful hardware upgrades, this alone may not be enough to drive substantial demand.

Conclusion

In summary, Apple’s decision to lower its sales forecast for the iPhone 16 series highlights ongoing challenges in maintaining robust demand amid evolving consumer expectations. As competition intensifies in the smartphone market, particularly with emerging technologies and pricing strategies from competitors, Apple will need to prioritize innovation and adapt its offerings to retain customer interest.

The anticipated launch of products like the iPhone SE4 could further complicate Apple’s sales landscape, making it imperative for the company to strategically navigate both hardware advancements and market dynamics moving forward.

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Zepto Delays IPO to Focus on Profitability and Indian Ownership

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Zepto - StartupStories

Overview

Zepto, a leading quick commerce startup, has postponed its planned IPO to early 2026, shifting its focus to achieving profitability and increasing Indian shareholding before going public.

Key Reasons for Delay

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  • Market Uncertainty: Ongoing global and domestic market volatility influenced the decision to wait for more stable conditions.
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Boosting Domestic Shareholding

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  • Actions: The company is conducting secondary share sales to Indian investors and founders are increasing their stakes by buying from foreign investors.
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Financial and Operational Updates

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Outlook

Zepto remains positive about its future, aiming to raise around $800 million in its IPO and attract both domestic and international investors. CEO Aadit Palicha emphasizes building a sustainable, majority Indian-owned business before entering the public market.

Summary: Zepto’s IPO delay reflects a strategic focus on financial stability and regulatory compliance, with profitability and Indian ownership at the forefront.

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Polygon Enters New Era: Leadership Shift and Major Upgrades Under Sandeep Nailwal

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Polygon StartupStories

Sandeep Nailwal, co-founder of Polygon, has been appointed as the first CEO of the Polygon Foundation, marking a shift from decentralized governance to focused leadership. This change aims to provide clear direction and accelerate Polygon’s growth in the competitive blockchain space.

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Wow! Momo Raises ₹85 Crore from Stride Ventures to Accelerate Nationwide Expansion

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WoW Momo StartupStories

Wow! Momo, the Kolkata-based quick-service restaurant (QSR) chain, has secured ₹85 crore (approximately $9.9 million) in debt funding from Stride Ventures, aiming to accelerate its omnichannel expansion and strengthen its presence across India. The company, which operates over 700 outlets in more than 70 cities, plans to utilize the funds to open additional dine-in restaurants, expand its packaged food (FMCG) vertical, and enhance its delivery and supply chain operations. This strategic move will also help refinance existing loans and fuel Wow! Momo’s push into new markets and product categories.

Founded in 2008, Wow! Momo has rapidly diversified its offerings, launching brands such as Wow! China, Wow! Chicken, and Wow! Kulfi, and recently entering the frozen foods segment with quick commerce and retail distribution. The company is targeting a footprint of over 1,500 stores across more than 100 cities within the next three years and aims to grow its FMCG business to ₹100 crore while ramping up its HORECA (Hotel, Restaurant, and Catering) segment. The leadership team views this debt infusion as pivotal for scaling new formats, driving innovation, and building brands that resonate with Indian consumers.

Stride Ventures, known for backing high-growth startups, emphasized Wow! Momo’s strong brand recall, robust business model, and relentless innovation as key reasons for their investment. With this funding, Wow! Momo is well-positioned to further solidify its status as a category-defining player in India’s QSR and FMCG sectors, while preparing for larger equity rounds and a potential IPO in the coming years.

 

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